I've always been concerned about UPnP vulns from inside the network...not outside.
Most routers have the UPnP service bound to the LAN side, because it listens to requests for dynamic port forwarding from internal hosts....as far as firewall concerns. The concept of UPnP being bound to the WAN IP address simply doesn't make sense. I've never heard of a firewall that has that feature (although I haven't looked either).
The worry should be, a bug (malware like some trojan/back door) gets put on a PC inside the network. It is programmed to find the network gateway...and then scan that gateway for UPnP vulnerabilities...once found, exploit them...open/forward all ports to that PC on the network (or some scripts will identify a server on a network...and open/forward all ports to that servers LAN IP). Now you have fully exposed PCs or worse..a fully exposed server on the network, which is no longer behind NAT. Since the remote hacker has the WAN IP address...and no NAT protecting that Windows PC...guess what...it's field day! The front door is wiiiiiide open!